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| Last Updated:: 18/07/2020

Economics OLD

 

           The per capita debt of Kerala which was Rs.7414 in 2001 increased to Rs.12681 in 2005 as against all state level of Rs. 8343. The per capita debt of neighbouring states in 2005 next to Kerala was Andhra Pradesh (Rs.8427) followed by Tamil Nadu (Rs.7782) and Karnataka (Rs.7446). When the debt/GSDP ratio of Kerala in 2005 was 42 per cent, that of neighbouring states and of all states ranged between 27 per cent and 38 per cent. The revenue deficit of the state came down from Rs.3668.30 crore (3.66 percent of GSDP) in 2004-05 to Rs. 2637.94 crore (1.99 percent of GSDP) in 2006-07.

         

          Kerala economy has bettered its growth rate nominally, but at the cost of having its government fiscals debt-squeezed. The Economic Review-2007, admits that the state's public debt has crossed Rs. 57,138.71 crore from Rs. 45,929.05 crore in the previous year. Growth rate of GSDP (Gross State Domestic Product) is up by 0.1% to 8.1% in 2006-2007. In 2005-2006, this was barely 8%. Per capita income in the state has slightly improved from Rs. 31,438 to Rs. 31,642 in 2006-2007. As much as 61% of Kerala's GSDP is contributed by tertiary sector. Secondary sector accounts for 22% and primary sector just 17% of GSDP. Meanwhile the public debt is growing at double-digit rates. The rate of growth of debt had actually fallen in 2006-2007 to 8.59% from 9.67% in the previous year before soaring to 14.56%. At constant (1999-2000) prices, the primary sector recorded a growth of 6 per cent, the secondary sector 8.3 per cent, tertiary sector 8.7 per cent in 2006-07. 

          Corresponding to the debt growth, fiscal deficit (FD) has bloated to Rs 7,425.21 crore in 2007-2009. Last year this was only Rs 3,921.87 crore. With salaries, pensions and interests eating over 77% of revenue income, revenue deficit (RD) was a whopping Rs 5,251.16 crore in 2007-2009. In the previous year, this was only Rs 2637.9 crore. Worst is that less than half of the revenue expenditure is devoted to developmental expenditure. Although the fiscals are not shipshape, the state had, in the last fiscal, set aside over Rs 1000 crore for farm sector. Economic Review-2007 also claims that in the second half of 2007, the state has not seen any farmer suicide. At the same time, the rate of increase in agricultural income has fallen compared to that of 2005. From 6.72% in 2005-2006, the growth in farm income has fallen to 6.17%. Increased foreign tourist arrivals are the prime drivers of the state economy.

 

National Income

 

         The Gross National Income (GNI) of India at 2011-12 prices is estimated at ₹10513163 crore during 2014-15, as against the previous year’s estimate of Rs. 9800813 crore (Table 1.1). The gross national income is estimated to have risen by 7.27 pecent during 2014-15, in comparison to the growth rate of 6.85 percent in 2013-14. GNI at current prices is estimated at Rs. 12383908 crore during 2014-15, as compared to Rs. 11205169 crore during 2013-14 showing a rise of 10.5 percent. The Net National Income (NNI) at current prices is estimated at Rs. 11117615 crore during 2014-15, as compared to Rs. 10056523 crore during 2013-14, showing a rise of 10.6 percent.

 

National Income, Domestic Product & Per Capita Income at 2011-12 Prices and Current prices (All India) (Upto 2014-15)

 

             GDP at constant (2011-12) prices in the year 2014-15 is estimated at Rs. 10643983 crore showing a growth rate of 7.3 percent over the estimates of GDP for the year 2013-14 of Rs. 9921106 crore. GDP at current prices in the year 2014-15 is estimated at Rs. 12541208 crore showing a growth rate of 10.5 percent over the estimates of GDP for the year 2013-14 of Rs. 11345056 crore. The per capita GDP in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) during 2014-15 is estimated at Rs. 84009 as against Rs. 79305 in 2013-14, registering an increase of 5.9 percent during the year. The per capita GDP at current prices is estimated at Rs. 98983 in 2014-15 as against Rs. 90688 for the previous year depicting a growth of 9.1 percent. 

 

          The Gross National Income (GNI) of India, at 2011-12 prices, is estimated at  Rs.11,213,328 crore during 2015-16, as against the previous year’s estimate of  Rs.10,427,701 crore (Table 1.1). The gross national income is estimated to have risen by 7.5 percent during 2015-16, in comparison to the growth rate of 7.3 percent in 2014-15. GNI at current prices is estimated at  Rs.13,418,745 crore during 2015-16, as compared to  Rs.12,340,772 crore during 2014-15 showing a rise of 8.7 percent. The Net National Income (NNI) at current prices is estimated at  Rs.11,969,428 crore during 2015-16, as compared to  Rs.11,007,592 crore during 2014-15, showing a growth rate of 8.7 percent. Details are given below.

 

National Income, Domestic Product and Per Capita Income at 2011-12 Prices and Current prices (All India), in crore is given here

 

          GDP at constant (2011-12) prices in the year 2015-16 is estimated at Rs.11,350,249 crore showing a growth rate of 7.6 percent over the estimates of GDP for the year 2014-15 (Rs.10,552,151 crore). GDP at current prices in the year 2015-16 is estimated at  Rs.13,576,086 crore showing a growth rate of 8.7 percent over the estimates of GDP for the year 2014-15 ( Rs.12,488,205 crore). The per capita GDP in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) during 2015-16 is estimated at  Rs.88466 as against  Rs.83285 in 2014-15, registering an increase of over 6.2 percent. The per capita GDP in real terms at current prices is estimated at  Rs.105,815 in 2015-16 as against  Rs.98,565 for the previous year depicting a growth of 7.4 percent. 

 

                  The Gross National Income (GNI) at 2011-12 prices is estimated at 120.35 lakh crore in 2016-17, as against the previous year's estimate of 112.46 lakh crore. In terms of growth rates, the gross national income is estimated to have risen by 7.0 percent during 2016-17, in comparison to the growth rate of 8.0 percent in 2015-16. The GNI at current prices is estimated at 149.94 lakh crore in 2016-17, as compared to 135.22 lakh crore in 2015-16, showing a rise of 10.9 percent. The Net National Income (NNI) at current prices is estimated at 134.08 lakh crore in 2016-17, as compared to 120.76 lakh crore in 2015-16, showing a increase of 11.0 per cent. Details are given below:

 

 

 

Sl. No

 

Item

 

At 2011-12 Prices

 

At Current Prices

 

 

 

2014-15 (NS)

 

 

2015-16 (NS)

 

 

2016-17 (PE)

 

 

2014-15 (NS)

 

 

2015-16 (NS)

 

2016-17 (PE)

1

GVA at basic prices

9719023

10490514 (7.9)

11185440 (6.6)

11481794

1245862 (8.5)

13669914 (9.7)

2

Gross National Income (GNI)

10412280

11246305 (8.0)

12034713 (7.0)

12297698

13522256 (10.0)

14994109 (10.9)

3

Net National Income (NNI)

9231556

9982112 (8.1)

10686776 (7.1)

10953761

12076882 (10.3)

13408211 (11.0)

4

Gross domestic product (GDP)

10536984

11381002 (8.0)

12189854 (7.1)

12445128

13682035 (9.9)

15183709 (11.0)

5

Net domestic product (NDP)

9356260

10116809 (8.1)

10841917 (7.2)

11101191

12236662 (10.2)

13597811 (11.1)

6

Per capita Gross domestic product ()

83165

88706 (6.7)

93840 (5.8)

98225

106641 (8.6)

116888 (9.6)

7

Per capita Net domestic product ()

73846

78853 (6.7)

83464 (5.8)

87618

95375 (8.8)

104679 (9.7)

Note: The figures in parenthesis show the percentage change over previous year. NS- New Series Estimate, PE- Provisional Estimate. Source: Central Statistics Office.

  

             

              GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the year 2016-17 is estimated at 121.90 lakh crore showing a growth rate of 7.1 percent over the year 2015-16 of 113.81 lakh crore. GDP at current prices in the year 2016-17 is estimated at 151.84 lakh crore, showing a growth rate of 11.0 percent over the estimates of GDP for the year 2015-16 of 136.82 lakh crore. The per capita GDP in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) during 2016-17 is estimated at 93,840 as against 88,706 in 2015-16, registering an increase of over 5.8 percent during the year. The per capita GDP at current prices is estimated at 116,888 in 2016-17 as against 106,641 for the previous year showing a growth of 9.6 percent.

 

               The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), has released the estimates of national income for the financial year 2017-18 both at constant (2011-12) and current prices. The Gross National Income (GNI) at 2011-12 prices is estimated at ₹128.64 lakh crore in 2017-18, as against the previous year’s estimate of ₹120.51 lakh crore. In terms of growth rates, the gross national income has increased 6.7 per cent in 2017-18, compared to 7.1 per cent in 2016-17. In 2017-18 the GNI at current prices grew 10 per cent to ₹165.87 lakh crore from ₹150.77 lakh crore a year earlier. The Net National Income (NNI) at current prices is estimated at ₹148.49 lakh crore in 2017-18, compared to ₹134.92 lakh crore in 2016-17, an increase of 10.1 per cent. Details are given here.

  

               The Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic constant (2011-12) prices for 2017-18 is estimated at ₹119.76 lakh crore, a 6.5 percent growth over the GVA for 2016-17 at ₹112.47 lakh crore. The GVA at current prices is estimated at ₹151.82 lakh crore in 2017-18 compared to ₹138.41 lakh crore in 2016-17, an increase of 9.7 percent. The GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for 2017-18 is estimated at ₹130.10 lakh crore, 6.7 percent growth over ₹121.96 lakh crore in 2016-17. The GDP at current prices in 2017-18 is estimated at ₹167.73 lakh crore, showing a growth rate of 10 per cent over the estimates of GDP for 2016-17 at ₹152.53 lakh crore. The per capita GDP in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) in 2017-18 is estimated at ₹98,867 as against ₹93,888 in 2016-17, registering an increase of 5.3 percent. The per capita GDP at current prices is estimated at ₹1,27,456 in 2017-18 as against ₹1,17,427 for the previous year, showing a growth of 8.5 percent.

 

                  According to data from the Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), India’s Gross National Income (GNI) at 2011-12 prices is estimated at ₹139.32 lakh crore in 2018-19, as against the previous year’s estimate of ₹130.34 lakh crore. In terms of growth rates, the gross national income has increased 6.9 per cent in 2018-19, compared to 7.2 per cent in 2017-18. The Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic constant (2011-12) prices for 2018-19 is estimated at ₹129.06 lakh crore, a 6.6 per cent growth over the GVA for 2017-18 at ₹121.04 lakh crore. The GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for 2018-19 is estimated at ₹140.77 lakh crore, 6.8 per cent growth over ₹131.79 lakh crore in 2017-18. Details are given below:

 

Gross National Income, Gross Domestic Product and per capita income at 2011-12 prices and current prices, all India, in ₹ crore

 

                 

                 India’s GVA at current prices is estimated at ₹171.99 lakh crore in 2018-19, compared to ₹154.82 lakh crore in 2017-18, an increase of 11.1 per cent. India’s GDP at current prices in 2018-19 is estimated at ₹190.10 lakh crore, showing a growth rate of 11.2 per cent over the estimates of GDP for 2017-18 at ₹170.95 lakh crore. The per capita GDP in real terms (at 2011- 12 prices) in 2018-19 is estimated at ₹1,05,688 as against ₹1,00,151 in 2017-18, registering an increase of 5.5 per cent. The per capita GDP at current prices is estimated at ₹1,42,719 in 2018- 19 as against ₹1,29,901 for the previous year, showing a growth of 9.9 per cent.

 

State Income

 

            According to the reports published by the Department of Economics and Statistics, the quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at factor cost at constant (2004-05) prices is Rs. 21010717 lakhs during 2011-12 as against the provisional estimate of Rs.  19186676 lakhs during 2010-11,  registering a growth rate of 9.5 percent in 2011-12 compared to just over 8 percent in 2010-11. The graphical representation is shown below.  At current prices the Gross State Domestic Product is estimated at Rs.  31520567 lakhs (quick estimate) during 2011-12 as against the provisional estimate of Rs.  26947379 lakhs during 2010-11 showing a growth rate of nearly 17 percent.  

 

               The quick estimate of Net State Domestic Product (State Income) at factor cost at constant prices (2004-05) is Rs. 18699759 lakhs during 2011-12 compared to the provisional estimate of Rs. 17023691 lakhs during 2010-11, recording a growth rate of 9.9 percent in 2011-12. At current prices the State Income is estimated at Rs.  28087084 lakhs (quick estimate) in 2011-12 compared to the provisional estimate of Rs. 23942585 lakhs during 2010-11. The growth rate of State Income at current prices is 17.3 percent in 2011-12 compared to 16.2 per cent in 2010-11. The details are shown in the table here.

 

The quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is ₹43236140 lakh during 2014-15 as against the provisional estimate of ₹40530850 lakh during 2013-14, registering a growth rate of 6.67 percent in 2014-15 compared to 4.54 percent in 2013-14. At current prices the Gross State Domestic Product is estimated at ₹51989585 lakh (quick estimate) during 2014-15 as against the provisional estimate of ₹46291606 lakh during 2013-14. Growth Rate of GSDP at constant Prices (Kerala)


                  The quick estimate of Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) at constant prices (2011-12) is ₹39176307 lakh during 2014-15 compared to the provisional estimate of ₹36588661 lakh during 2013-14, recording a growth rate of slightly above 7.0 percent in 2014-15. At current prices the NSDP is estimated at ₹47052306 lakh (quick estimate) in 2014-15 compared to the provisional estimate of ₹41804353 lakh during 2013-14. The growth rate of NSDP at current prices is 12.55 percent in 2014-15 compared to 12.56 percent in 2013-14. The details are given below.

 

                 

            The quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is Rs.46,724,313 lakhs during 2015-16 as against the provisional estimate of Rs.43,223,674 lakhs during 2014-15. GSDP registered a growth rate of 8.10 percent in 2015-16 compared to 7.31 per cent in 2013-14 which is shown below. At current prices, the GSDP is estimated at Rs.58,833,659 lakhs (quick estimate) during 2015-16 as against the provisional estimate of Rs.52,600,230 lakhs during 2014-15 showing a growth rate of 11.85 percent.        

 

Growth Rate of GSDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices, Kerala in percent (Rs)

 

                  The quick estimate of Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) at factor cost at constant prices (2011-12) is Rs.42,613,173 lakhs during 2015-16 compared to the provisional estimate of Rs.39,370,155 lakhs during 2014-15, recording a growth rate of 8.24 percent in 2015-16. At current prices the NSDP is estimated at Rs.53,112,606 lakhs (quick estimate) in 2015-16 compared to the provisional estimate of Rs.47,304,466 lakhs during 2014-15. The growth rate of NSDP at current prices is 12.28 percent in 2015-16 compared to 13.37 percent in 2014-15. The details are shown below.

 

P: Provisional Estimate, Q: Quick Estimate, (Source: Department of Economics and Statistics)

 

                  The quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is 48,087,791 lakh during 2016-17 as against the provisional estimate of 44,769,237 lakh during 2015-16, registering a growth rate of 7.41 per cent in 2016-17 compared to 6.60 percent in 2015-16. The details are shown below. At current prices the Gross State Domestic Product is estimated at 61,703,466 lakh (quick estimate) in 2016-17 as against the provisional estimate of 55,794,651 lakh during 2015-16 showing a growth rate of 10.59 percent.

 

 

                   The quick estimate of Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) at factor cost at constant prices (2011-12) is 44,051,533 lakh in 2016-17 compared to the provisional estimate of 40,906,975 lakh during 2015-16, recording a growth rate of 7.69 percent in 2016-17. At current prices the NSDP is estimated at 55,848,205 lakh (quick estimate) in 2016-17 compared to the provisional estimate of 50,392,861 lakh during 2015-16. The growth rate of NSDP at current prices is 10.83 per cent in 2016-17 compared to 9.40 percent in 2015-16. The details are given below: 

 

 

Sl. No

Item

Income (Lakh)

Growth Rate  (in per cent)

 

2014-15

2015-16 (P)

2016-17 (Q)

2015-16 (P)

2016-17 (Q)

1

Gross State Domestic Product

 

a) At Constant (2011-12) Prices

41,995,555

44,769,237

48,087,791

6.60

7.41

b) At Current Prices

51,256,405

55,794,651

61,703,466

8.85

10.59

2

Net State Domestic Product

 

a) At Constant (2011-12) Prices

38,213,426

40,906,975

44,051,533

7.05

7.69

b) At CurrentPrices

46,061,432

50,392,861

55,848,205

9.40

10.83

3

Per Capita GSDP ()

 

a) At Constant (2011-12) Prices

123,573

131,086

140,107

6.08

6.88

b) At Current Prices

150,824

163,369

179,778

8.32

10.04

4

Per Capita NSDP ()

 

a) At Constant (2011-12) Prices

112,444

119,777

128,347

6.52

7.15

b) At Current Prices

135,537

147,552

162,718

8.86

10.28

Source: Department of Economics and StatisticsP: Provisional Estimate, Q: Quick Estimate

             

                  The quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is ₹5,13,69,589 lakh in 2017-18 as against the provisional estimate of ₹4,79,28,990 lakh in 2016-17, registering a growth rate of 7.18 per cent in 2017-18 compared to 6.22 percent in 2016-17. The details are shown below diagrammatically. At current prices, the GSDP is estimated at ₹6,86,76,443 lakh (quick estimate) in 2017-18 as against the provisional estimate of ₹6,16,35,704 lakh in 2016-17 showing a growth rate of 11.42 per cent.

 

                 The quick estimate of Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) at factor cost at constant prices (2011-12) is ₹4,69,88,233 lakh in 2017- 18 compared to the provisional estimate of ₹4,38,39,422 lakh in 2016-17, recording a growth rate of 7.18 per cent in 2017-18. At current prices, the NSDP is estimated at ₹6,19,23,259 lakh (quick estimate) in 2017-18 compared to the provisional estimate of ₹5,55,95,370 lakh in 2016-17. The growth rate of NSDP at current prices is 11.38 per cent in 2017-18 compared to 9.89 per cent in 2016-17. Details are given in Table below:

 

Growth rate of GSDP at constant prices 2011-12, Kerala, in per cent

 

 

State domestic product and per capita income of Kerala

 

                  The quick estimate of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is ₹5,59,41,196 lakh in 2018-19 as against the provisional estimate of ₹5,20,57,851 lakh in 2017-18, registering a growth rate of 7.5 per cent in 2018-19 compared to 7.3 per cent in 2017-18. At current prices, the GSDP is estimated at ₹7,81,65,326 lakh (quick estimate) in 2018-19 as against the provisional estimate of ₹7,01,57,738 lakh in 2017-18, showing a growth rate of 11.4 per cent.

 

                   The quick estimate of Gross State Value Added (GSVA) at constant (2011-12) prices is ₹5,00,08,120 lakh in 2018-19 as against the provisional estimate of ₹4,65,14,275 lakh in 2017-18, leading to a growth rate of 7.5 per cent in 2018-19 compared to 6.8 per cent in 2017-18. Details are given in the below Table and figure.

 

Annual rates of growth of GSVA for Kerala and GVA for India (both at constant 2011-12 prices), in per cent

 

Source: Department of Economics and Statistics (for Kerala) and National Accounts Statistics (for India)

State Domestic Product and per capita income of Kerala

                  (Source: Department of Economics and Statistics; P: Provisional Estimate, Q: Quick Estimate)

 

Per Capita State Income:  As per the quick estimates in 2013-14, the per capita Gross State Domestic Product at constant (2004-05) prices was Rs. 66862 as against provisional estimate of Rs. 63227 in 2012-13, recording a growth rate of 5.7 percent in 2013-14. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2013-14 was Rs. 117132 registering a growth rate of 13.36 percent over the previous year’s estimate of Rs. 103321. The best indicator of per capita state income is NSDP (which indicates value added within the state) divided by the population. At constant (2004-05) prices, the quick estimates of per capita Net State Domestic Product in 2013-14 was Rs. 58961 as against provisional estimate of Rs. 55643 in 2012-13, recording a growth rate of 5.9 percent in 2013-14. The below figure  shows that during the period 2007-08 to 2013-14, the per capita state income at constant prices was higher than the per capita national income.

 

                        As per the quick estimates, the per capita Gross State Domestic Product at constant (2011-12) prices in 2014-15 was ₹127166 as against provisional estimate of ₹119799 in 2013-14, recording a growth rate of 6.15 percent in 2014-15. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2014-15 was ₹152912 compared to ₹136827 in 2013-14. The best indicator of per capita state income is NSDP divided by the population. At constant (2011-12) prices, the quick estimates of per capita Net State Domestic Product in 2014-15 was ₹115225 as against provisional estimate of ₹108147 in 2013-14, recording a growth rate of 6.54 percent in 2014-15. The figure below shows that during the period 2012-13 to 2014-15, the per capita state income at constant prices was higher than the per capita national income by over 50 percent.The details are given here.


                       As per the quick estimates, the per capita GSDP at constant (2011-12) prices in 2015-16 was Rs.136,811 as against provisional estimate of Rs.127,187 in 2014-15, recording a growth rate of 7.57 percent in 2015-16. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2015-16 was Rs.172,268 registering a growth rate of 11.30 percent over the previous year’s estimate of Rs.154,778. The best indicator of per capita state income is NSDP divided by the population. At constant (2011-12) prices, the quick estimates of per capita Net State Domestic Product in 2015-16 was Rs.124,773 as against provisional estimate of Rs.115,848 in 2014-15, recording a growth rate of 7.70 percent in 2015-16. The figure shown below during the period 2012-13 to 2015-16, the per capita state income at constant prices was higher than the per capita national income.

 

 

  

                  As per the quick estimates, the per capita GSDP at constant (2011-12) prices in 2016-17 was 140,107 as against the provisional estimate of 131,086 in 2015-16, recording a growth rate of 6.88 per cent in 2016-17. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2016-17 was 179,778 registering a growth rate of 10.04 per cent over the previous year’s estimate of 163,369. The best indicator of per capita State income is NSDP divided by the population. At constant (2011-12) prices, the quick estimates of per capita NSDP in 2016-17 was 128,347 as against provisional estimate of 119,777 in 2015-16, recording a growth rate of 7.15 per cent in 2016-17. Figure 1.4 shows that during the period 2012-13 to 2016-17, the per capita State income at constant prices was higher than the per capita national income.

 

 

                  As per the quick estimates, the per capita GSDP at constant (2011-12) prices in 2017-18 was ₹1,48,927 as against the provisional estimate of ₹1,39,645 in 2016-17, recording a growth rate of 6.65 percent in 2017-18. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2017-18 was ₹1,99,101 registering a growth rate of 10.87 percent over the previous year’s estimate of ₹1,79,580. At constant (2011-12) prices, the quick estimates of per capita NSDP in 2017-18 was ₹1,36,225 as against the provisional estimate of ₹1,27,729 in 2016-17, recording 6.65 percent growth in 2017-18. The figure below shows that between 2012-13 and 2017-18, the per capita NSDP at constant prices was higher than the per capita NSDP at all India level.

 

 

Per capita NSDP and per capita NDP at constant 2011-12, prices in ₹

 

Source: Central Statistics Office and Department of Economics and Statistics

NSDP- Net State Domestic Product, NDP- Net Domestic Product 

 

                  As per the quick estimates, the per capita GSDP at constant (2011-12) prices in 2018-19 was ₹1,61,374 as against the provisional estimate of ₹1,50,922 in 2017-18, recording a growth rate of 6.9 per cent in 2018-19. At current prices, the per capita GSDP in 2017-18 was ₹2,25,484 registering a growth rate of 10.9 per cent over the previous year’s estimate of ₹2,03,396. At constant (2011-12) prices, the quick estimates of per capita NSDP in 2018-19 was ₹1,48,078 as against the provisional estimate of ₹1,38,368 in 2017-18, recording 7.0 per cent growth in 2018-19. The figure mentioned below shows that between 2012-13 and 2018-19, the per capita NSDP at constant prices was higher than the per capita NSDP at all India level.

 

Per capita NSDP and per capita NDP at constant 2011-12, prices in ₹

 

Source: Central Statistics Office and Department of Economics and Statistics

NSDP- Net State Domestic Product, NDP- Net Domestic Product

 

State Domestic product and per capita Income of Kerala

 

Sectoral Distribution of Gross State Domestic Product: The contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSDP in 2010-11 at constant prices (2004-05) was 11.06%, 20.13% and 68.80%, respectively. At current prices, the same was 14.94 %, 21.08% and 63.98%, respectively. During 2012-13, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSDP at constant prices (2004-05) was 9.3%, 23.9% and 66.7% respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 15.1%, 25% and 59.9% respectively to the GSDP during 2012-13. This difference in sectoral share between constant and current prices shows that inflationary trends in the primary sectors are much higher than in the secondary and tertiary sector. The details are given here. 

 

                          During 2013-14, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSDP at constant prices (2004-05) was 9.2 percent, 19.9 percent and 70.9 percent respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 14.2 percent, 19.7 percent and 66.1 percent respectively to the GSDP during 2013-14 (Figure below). This difference in sectoral share between constant and current prices shows that inflationary trends in the primary sectors are much higher than in the secondary and tertiary sector.

 

            During 2014-15, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSVA at constant prices (2011-12) was 12.15 percent, 25.11 percent and 62.74 percent respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 12.91 per cent, 24.81 percent and 62.28 percent respectively to the GSVA during 2014-15. This difference in sectoral share between constant and current prices shows that inflationary trends in the primary sectors are much higher than in the secondary and tertiary sector. The details are given here.

 

            While analysing the sectoral distribution of state income for the year 2013-14, it is seen that the contribution from primary sector and secondary sector are decreasing. But tertiary sector is showing an increase of 70.9 percent from 69.1 percent. The analysis of annual sectoral growth rate of Gross State Domestic Product shows that tertiary sector recorded the highest rate of growth 8.95 percent in 2013-14 at constant (2004-05) prices followed by secondary sector (1.34 percent) and primary sector showed a negative growth rate of -1.36 percent. The driving factor for the growth of the tertiary sector is mainly the growth in the transport, storage and communication sector which is showing an increase to 16.78 percent in 2013-14 from 12.69 percent in 2012-13. Negative growth in agriculture is generally because of the decrease of production in some of the cash crops like pepper, turmeric, cashew, tea and coffee. At current prices, the tertiary sector recorded a growth rate of 17.68 percent, secondary sector 17.68 percent and primary sector with 7.5 percent in 2013-14. The details of sectoral distribution of GSDP with percentage during the last three years is given in [1, 2, and 3] and the details of GSDP, NSDP at constant and current prices during 2004-05 to 2012-13 are given at [4,5,6 and 7].    

 

While analysing the sectoral distribution of state income for the year 2014-15, it is seen that the contribution from primary sector and secondary sector are decreasing. But tertiary sector is showing an increase to 62.75 percent from 60.89 percent. The analysis of annual sectoral growth rate of Gross State Valued Added shows that tertiary sector recorded the highest rate of growth 9.42 percent in 2014-15 at constant (2011-12) prices followed by secondary sector (3.74 percent) and primary sector showed a negative growth rate of -3.86 percent. The driving factor for the growth of the tertiary sector is mainly the growth in storage, trade, hotels and restaurant which is showing an increase of 14.72 percent in 2014-15 compared to 7.10 percent in 2013-14. Negative growth in agriculture is generally because of the decrease in production of some of the cash crops like pepper, turmeric, cashew, tea, coffee and rubber. At current prices, the tertiary sector recorded a growth rate of 14.43 percent, secondary sector 9.22 percent and primary sector with 6.13 percent in 2014-15.

 

The share of primary and secondary sector has decreased during the period 2012-13 to 2014-15 and tertiary sector has increased from 59.06% to 62.75%. The details of sectoral distribution of GSVA with percentage share during the last three years is given in 1, 2 and 3  and the details of GSDP, NSDP at constant and current prices during 2011-12 to 2014-15 are given 4, 5, 6, and 7. 

 

Sectoral Distribution of GSDP - Kerala 1960, 2011District wise distribution of Gross State Domestic Product 2012-2013 ,Sector wise Annual Growth Rate of GSDP -Kerala2008-2011

 

          During 2015-16, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSVA at constant prices (2011-12) was 11.58 percent, 26.17 per cent and 62.24 per cent respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 12.07 per cent, 24.27 percent and 63.66 percent respectively to the GSVA during this period.The Sectoral Distribution of GSVA 2015-16 at Basic Prices, in per cent is shown below:

 

                                                            

 

                    In 2015-16, at current prices, the contribution to GSVA of the tertiary sector increased to 63.66 percent from 61.53 percent in 2014-15. The contribution from primary and secondary sector declined from 13.45 percent to 12.07 percent in the primary sector, and from 25.02 percent to 24.27 percent in the secondary sector during the corresponding period. The analysis of annual sectoral growth rate of GSDP shows that the tertiary sector recorded the highest rate of growth 8.78 percent in 2015-16 at constant (2011-12) prices compared to 8.32 percent in 2014-15 followed by secondary sector (8.58 percent). The primary sector recorded a negative growth rate of -2.08 percent. Negative growth in agriculture was because of the decrease in production of some of the cash crops, and in fishing and aquaculture and forestry and logging.

 

                   The details of sectoral distribution of GSDP with percentage share during the last three years is given in  fig1, fig2 and fig3 and the details of GSDP, NSDP at constant and current prices during 2011-12 to 2015-16 are given in fig 4-7.

 

           At current prices, the tertiary sector recorded a growth rate of 14.94 per cent, secondary sector 7.73 per cent and primary sector 0.37 per cent in 2015-16 compared to the previous year. The driving force of growth in the tertiary sector is growth in the transport, storage, communication and service-related broadcasting, real estate, ownership of dwelling and professional services.  

 

              During 2016-17, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSVA at constant prices (2011-12) was 11.27 percent, 25.59 per cent and 63.14 percent respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 13.36 percent, 23.47 percent and 63.18 percent respectively to the GSVA during this period. The details are given below:

 

Sectoral Distribution of Gross State Value Added (GSVA) 2016-17 at Basic Prices

                 

               The contribution to GSVA (at current prices) of the tertiary sector and primary sector increased from 62.59 percent in 2015-16 to 63.18 percent in 2016-17, and from 12.82 percent in 2015-16 to 13.36 percent in 2016-17 respectively. During the corresponding period the contribution of secondary sector declined from 24.59 per cent to 23.47 percent.

 

                 The analysis of annual sectoral growth rate of GSDP shows that tertiary sector recorded the highest rate of growth of 6.7 percent in 2016-17 at constant (2011-12) prices followed by primary sector (5.19 percent) and tertiary sector 2.88 percent. During the period, the growth rate in primary sector increased from -11.2 percent to 5.19 mainly because of the increase in production of some of the crops, live stocks, fishing and aquaculture and mining and quarrying.

 

               At current prices, the primary sector recorded a growth rate of 13.25 percent, tertiary sector 9.72 percent and secondary sector 3.74 percent in 2016-17. The driving force for the growth of the tertiary sector is mainly the growth in the Transport, storage, communication and service related broadcasting and public administration.

 

               During the period 2013-14 to 2015-16, the share of contribution of tertiary sector has increased from 60.43 to 63.66 per cent. However, the share of primary sector decreased from 13.45 per cent to 12.07 per cent and secondary sector also decreased from 25.81 to 24.27 per cent during this period. The details of sectoral distribution of GSDP with percentage share during the last three years is given in [1, 2 and 3] and the details of GSDP, NSDP at constant and current prices during 2011-12 to 2015-16 are given at [4,5,6,and 7].

                  In 2017-18, the contribution from primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to the GSVA at constant prices (2011-12) was 10.85 per cent, 27.40 per cent and 61.75 per cent respectively. At current prices, the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors contributed 13.20 percent, 24.24 per cent, and 62.56 per cent respectively to the GSVA in this period. Details are given below:

 

Sectoral distribution of GSVA current and constant 2017-18 at basic prices, in per cent

 

 

 

                 The contribution to GSVA (at current prices) of the tertiary sector and primary sector slightly increased from 62.35 per cent in 2016-17 to 62.56 percent in 2017-18 and from 13.14 percent in 2016-17 to 13.20 per cent in 2017-18. In the corresponding period, the contribution of the secondary sector declined from 24.51 to 24.24 per cent.

 

                The contribution to GSVA (at current prices) of the tertiary sector and primary sector slightly increased from 62.35 per cent in 2016-17 to 62.56 per cent in 2017-18 and from 3.14 per cent in 2016-17 to 13.20 per cent in 2017-18. In the corresponding period, the contribution of the secondary sector declined from 24.51 to 24.24 percent.

 

                The analysis of annual sectoral growth rate of GSDP shows that secondary sector recorded the highest rate of growth of 6.52 per cent in 2017-18 at constant (2011-12) prices followed by tertiary sector (5.84 per cent) and primary sector (5.09 per cent). At current prices, the tertiary sector grew 10.75 per cent, primary sector 10.88 per cent and secondary sector 9.14 per cent in 2017-18. The details of the sectoral distribution of GSVA in the last three years are given here. 

                                                   

                  The structure of the economy and the workforce in Kerala are noticeably different from the structure in the rest of India. Agriculture and allied activities employed 41.8 per cent of India’s total workforce even in 2017-18. However, in Kerala, there has been a large-scale withdrawal of workers from agriculture over the years, with the share of the workforce in agriculture and allied activities declining to only 16.7 per cent by 2017-18. The share of agriculture and allied activities in gross value added was 9.5 per cent and 14.9 per cent respectively in Kerala and India. The share of manufacturing in gross value added was only 12.8 per cent in Kerala, compared to 18.0 per cent in India as a whole. The details are given below:

 

Shares of different sectors in Gross Value Added and employment, Kerala and India, 2017-18

 

Sectors

Shares in Gross Value Added

Shares in employment

Kerala (GSVA)

India (GWA)

Kerala

India

Agriculture, livestock, forestry & fishing

9.5

14.9

16.7

41.8

Mining & quarrying

0.7

3.0

0.2

0.4

Primary

10.

2

17.9

16.9

42.2

Manufacturing

12.8

18.0

11.8

12.8

Electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services

1.1

2.2

0.4

0.7

construction

13.8

8.0

18.9

11.6

Secondary

27.7

28.2

31.1

25.1

Trade, repair, hotels & restaurants

17.5

12.6

17.7

12.6

Transport, storage, communication & services related to broadcasting

7.7

6.5

11.1

6.2

Financial, real estate& professional services

21.1

21.9

7.1

3.6

Public Administration & other services

15.8

12.9

16.0

10.4

Tertiary

62.1

53.9

51.9

32.8

 

100

100

100

100

Sources: Department of Economics & Statistics (for GSVA of Kerala) and National Accounts Statistics (for GVA of India) and Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) carried out by India’s Central Statistical Office in 2017-18 for data on employment.

 

 

                  At the same time, the contribution by construction and the services sectors to the economy are bigger in Kerala than in the rest of India. In 2017-18, the share of the construction sector to gross value added was 13.8 per cent and 8.0 per cent respectively in Kerala and India. The services sector accounted for 62.1 per cent of the gross value added and 51.9 per cent of the total workforce of Kerala in 2017-18. At the national level, the share of the service sector to gross value added and employment were 53.9 per cent and 32.8 per cent respectively.

 

 District wise distribution of Gross State Domestic Product :  

 

           District wise distribution of Gross State Domestic Product at factor cost at current prices shows that Ernakulam District continues to have the highest income of Rs. 5409716 lakhs in 2013-14 as against Rs. 4800385 lakhs in 2012-13 registering a growth rate of 12.7 percent. At constant (2004-05) prices, this amounts to Rs. 3264509 lakhs during 2013-14 compared to Rs. 3076050 lakhs during 2012-13. The details are given here.

   

          District wise distribution of Gross State Value Added at basic prices at current prices shows that Ernakulam District continues to have the highest income of ₹7308907 lakhs in 2014-15 as against ₹ 6494347 lakhs in 2013-14 registering a growth rate of 12.54 percent. At constant (2011-12) prices, this amounts to ₹6081130 lakhs during 2014-15 compared to ₹5680292 lakhs during 2013-14. The district wise details are given here.

 

 

District-wise distribution of GSVA at current prices shows that Ernakulam district continues to have the highest income of Rs.6,811,532 lakhs in 2015-16 as against Rs.6,042,283 lakhs in 2014-15 registering a growth rate of 12.73 percent. At constant (2011-12) prices, this amounts to Rs.5,489,638 lakhs during 2015-16 compared to Rs.5,061,012 lakhs during 2014-15. The district-wise GSVA details are given below: 

 

                                                                                                                          Source: Department of Economics and Statistics P: Provisional Estimate Q: Quick Estimate

 

                  District-wise distribution of GSVA at basic price at current prices shows that Ernakulam District continues to have the highest income of 6,918,835 lakh in 2016-17 as against 6,296,547 lakh in 2015-16 registering a growth rate of 9.88 per cent. At constant (2011-12) prices, this amounts to 5,491,752 lakh in 2016-17 compared to 5,125,647 lakh in 2015-16. The district wise GSVA details are given below:

 

District-wise Distribution of Gross State Value Added 

 

Sl. No

District Name

Gross State Value Added at Basic Price ( in lakh)

 

At Current Prices

      At Constant Prices (2011-12)

 

2015-16

(P)

2016-17

(Q)

Growth Rate (%)

2015-16

(P)

2016-17

(Q)

Growth Rate (%)

1

Trivandrum

5,119,355

5,567,163

8.75

4,087,733

4,311,759

5.48

2

Kollam

4,568,252

4,980,196

9.02

3,622,737

3,825,637

5.60

3

Pathanamthitta

1,438,255

1,599,967

11.24

1,135,630

1,218,492

7.30

4

Alappuzha

3,650,842

3,959,161

8.45

2,922,450

3,069,069

5.02

5

Kottayam

3,021,186

3,273,951

8.37

2,504,602

2,627,009

4.89

6

Idukki

1,895,868

2,056,010

8.45

1,453,150

1,485,762

2.24

7

Ernakulam

6,296,547

6,918,835

9.88

5,125,647

5,491,752

7.14

8

Thrissur

5,178,400

5,561,292

7.39

4,144,093

4,343,482

4.81

9

Palakkad

3,717,274

3,998,133

7.56

2,904,804

3,034,377

4.46

10

Malappuram

4,896,021

5,363,418

9.55

3,889,842

4,144,456

6.55

11

Kozhikode

4,395,664

4,681,302

6.50

3,491,034

3,633,201

4.07

12

Wayanad

1,029,524

1,107,058

7.53

770,726

802,474

4.12

13

Kannur

3,509,232

3,866,359

10.18

2,823,432

3,027,512

7.23

14

Kasaragod

1,718,063

1,889,926

10.00

1,359,393

1,443,907

6.22

GSVA

50,434,483

54,822,771

8.70

40,235,273

42,458,889

5.53

Source: Department of Economics and Statistics, (P: Provisional Q:Quick

 

  

 

 

                  District-wise distribution of GSVA at the basic price at current prices shows that Ernakulam District continues to have the highest income of ₹74,86,789 lakh in 2017-18 as against ₹69,04,548 lakh in 2016-17, registering a growth rate of 8.43 percent. At constant (2011-12) prices, this amounts to ₹56, 82,082 lakh in 2017-18 compared to ₹54, 35,176 lakh in 2016-17. The District-wise GSVA details are given in table below:

 

District-wise Per Capita Income:

 

                     The analysis of district wise per capita income shows that Ernakulam district stands first with the per capita income of   Rs. 85070 at constant (2004-05) prices in 2010-11 as against Rs. 78351 in 2009-10 Kottayam District has the second largest per capita income of Rs. 64648 in 2010-11 at constant prices followed by Thiruvananthapuram ( Rs.60945), Pathanamthitta ( Rs. 60370), Thrissur ( Rs. 59127), and Alappuzha ( Rs. 57298). The lowest per capita income was recorded in Malappuram District ( Rs. 36740) in 2010-11 at constant prices preceded by Wayanad ( Rs. 39051), Kasargod ( Rs. 44572) and Kozhikode ( Rs. 53298). The highest rate of growth of per capita income of 9.31% was recorded in Pathanamthitta District in 2010-11 followed by Thiruvananthapuram (8.98 %), Thrissur (8.84%), Ernakulam (8.57%), and Allappuzha (8.37%). The lowest growth rate was recorded in Idukki District (6.84%) preceded by Wayanad District (7.74%) , Malappuram (7.75%), and Kasargod (7.97 %). The district wise per capita income with growth rate is given  here:

 

The analysis of district wise per capita income shows that Ernakulam district stands first with the per capita income of  Rs.86267 at constant (2004-05) prices in 2013-14 as against Rs. 81557 in 2012-13. The district wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given here.  [Tables showing state income(2007 -2010)     District wise per capita Income at constant (2004-2005)]

 

           Growth rate at current prices does not eliminate the inflationary impact. When district level growth rate at constant prices, we compared the “real” GSDP growth rate may be observed as the inflationary impact has been eliminated. Ernakulam, Thrissur,Kozhikode and Kannur had higher real growth in GSDP than the State Average. Wayanad had a lower growth than other districts. According to Department of Economics & Statistics, t analysis of district wise per capita income shows that Ernakulam district stands first with the per capita income of Rs 94392 at constant (2004-05) prices in 2012-13.  The details are shown here:

 

                     The table reveals that the districts Ernakulam, Thrissur, Kozhikode and Kannurhad a much higher growth rate than the average growth in per capita income in 2012-13. However, the districts of Wayanad, Kollam, Palakkadand Idukki showed much lower growth in per capita income than the state average. District wise and sector wise analysis of GSDP reveals that Ernakulam district contributions in all these sectors are highest. District-wise sectoral distribution of Gross State Domestic Product from 2010-11 to 2012-13 at current and constant (2004-2005) prices are given in 7,8, 9, 10, 11 and 12.

 

District wise and sectorwise analysis of GSDP reveals that Kollam district showed highest contributions in primary sector and Ernakulam district contributions in secondary and tertiary sectors are highest. District-wise sectoral distribution of Gross State Domestic Product from 2011-12 to 2013-14 at current and constant (2004-2005) prices are given in  1, 2, 3, 4,5  and 6.

 

         The analysis of district per capita income shows that Ernakulam stands at the top with the per capita income of ₹161472 at constant (2011-12) prices in 2014-15 as against ₹151210 in 2013-14. The district wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given here.

 

The data reveals that the districts Alappuzha, Idukki, Ernakulam, Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Malappuram, had much higher growth rates than the average growth in per capita income in 2014-15. However, the districts of Pathanamthitta, Kottayam, Kasaragod and Kannur showed lower growth in per capita income than the state average.

 

District wise and sector-wise analysis of GSVA reveals that contribution of Ernakulam in primary, secondary and tertiary sectors is the highest. District-wise sectoral distribution of Gross State Value Added from 2012-13 to 2014-15 at current and constant (2011-12) prices are given in[1.Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Current Price2012-13, 2. Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Constant Price2012-13, 3.Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Current Price2013-14, 4. Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Constant Price2013-14, 5. Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Current Price2014-15, 6. Gross District Value Added (At Basic Price) - Constant Price2014-15]

 

             The analysis of district wise per capita income shows that Ernakulum district continues to stands first with the per capita income of Rs.146,518 at constant (2011-12) prices in 2015-16 as against Rs.135,817 in 2014-15. The district wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given below: 

                                                                                                                                          Source: Department of Economics and Statistics P: Provisional Estimate Q: Quick Estimate 

           The data reveals that Thiruvananthapuram, Kasaragod, Thrissur, Ernakulam, Kannur and Palakkad districts had a higher-than-average growth rate in per capita income in 2015-16. However, Pathanamthitta, Idukki, Kollam, Kottayam and Wayanad districts showed lower-than-average growth in per capita income.District-wise sectoral distribution of Gross State Domestic Product from 2012-13 to 2015-16 at current and constant (2011-12) prices are given in fig 8-13.                          

 

                  The analysis of district-wise per capita reveals that Ernakulam district continues to stands first with the per capita income of 162,297 at constant (2011-12) prices in 2016-17 as against 152,318 in 2015-16. The district wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given below:

 

 

Sl. No.

District

2015-16 (P)

Rank

2016-17 (Q)

Rank

Growth Rate 
(%)

1

Thiruvananthapuram

122,679

7

129,137

7

5.26

2

Kollam

136,282

3

143,638

2

5.40

3

Pathanamthitta

96,134

12

103,460

12

7.62

4

Alappuzha

136,804

2

143,542

3

4.92

5

Kottayam

126,238

6

132,267

6

4.78

6

Idukki

132,107

4

135,316

5

2.43

7

Ernakulam

152,318

1

162,297

1

6.55

8

Thrissur

129,922

5

135,518

4

4.31

9

Palakkad

100,128

10

103,855

11

3.72

10

Malappuram

89,357

14

94,012

14

5.21

11

Kozhikode

109,632

8

113,307

9

3.35

12

Wayanad

92,353

13

95,715

13

3.64

13

Kannur

109,602

9

116,982

8

6.73

14

Kasaragod

100,198

11

105,555

10

5.35

 

Kerala

117,811

 

123,707

 

5.01

P: Provisional Q: Quick Source: Department of Economics and Statistics

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

                   The table reveals that Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Ernkulam, Kannur, Kasargod, Malappuram, had a higher growth than the State average growth rate in per capita income in 2016-17. However, the districts of Alappuzha, Kottayam, Idukki, Thrissur, Palakkad, and Wayanad districts showed lower growth than the State average growth rate in per capita income. District wise and sectoral distribution of GSVA from 2014-15 to 2016-17 at current and constant (2011-12) prices are given in [8,9,10,11,12,13]. 

 

                  The analysis of District-wise per capita income reveals that Ernakulum District continues to stands first with the per capita income of ₹1,66,996 at constant (2011-12) prices in 2017-18 against ₹1,60,625 in 2016-17. The District-wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given below:

  

                  The above table reveals that the Districts of Kollam, Alappuzha, Malappuram, Thiruvananthapuram, Wayanad had a much higher growth than the State average growth rate in per capita income in 2017-18. However, the Districts of Palakkad, Kozhikode, Ernakulam, Kottayam, Idukki, Thrissur, and Pathanamthitta Districts showed lower per capita income growth compared to the State average growth. District-wise and sectoral distribution of GSVA from 2015-16 to 2017-18 at current and constant (2011-12) prices are given here.

 

                  The analysis of District-wise per capita income reveals that Ernakulum District continues to stands first with the per capita income of ₹1,83,258 at constant (2011-12) prices in 2018-19 against ₹1,71,072 in 2017-18. The District wise per capita income with corresponding rank and growth rate is given below:

 

District-wise per capita Gross State Value Added at basic price, constant prices, 2011-12

 

 

             The table above reveals that the Districts of Kottayam, Kannur, Kollam, Alappuzha, Thrissur, Ernakulam, and Kozhikode had a higher growth than the State average growth rate in per capita income in 2018-19. However, the Districts of Idukki, Thiruvananthapuram, Kasaragod, Malappuram, Palakkad, Pathanamthitta, and Wayanad showed lower per capita income growth compared to the State average growth. District-wise and sectoral distribution of GSVA from 2015-16 to 2017-18 at current and constant (2011-12) prices are given in [1,2,3,4,5 and 6]

 

Expenditure Pattern:

 

                    The major items of expenditure under revenue account are, pension, interest payments, salaries and devolutions to local bodies. The combined expenditure of social and economic services under revenue account constitutes the developmental expenditure. The collective expenditure of maintenance, expansion and development funds given to LSGD also needs to be reckoned as developmental expenditure. Expenditure on interest charges, pension charges, administrative services, police, etc. are the main components of non-developmental revenue expenditure. The ratio of revenue expenditure with relative to GSDP declined slightly to 13.07% in 2010-11 from 13.50% in 2009-10. The decline has been consistent since 2008-09. The share of developmental expenditure in total revenue expenditure marginally improved to 54.58% in 2010-11 from 53.43% in 2009-10. The developmental expenditure estimated in BE 2011-12 accounts for 59.37% of the total revenue expenditure. Trend in revenue expenditure is given here. 

                       

                  Public finances of Kerala entered into a crisis along with most other States in India during the second half of the 1990s, with revenue and fiscal deficits rising, Own Tax Revenue (OTR) and Central devolution declining and revenue expenditure, especially interest payments increasing. During the early years of 2000s, deficit targeting was attempted through passing legislation, namely, Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act. To achieve the targets, expenditure compression was resorted to. This led to protests by sections of the society, who were adversely affected and the measures could not be continued beyond a very short period. Realising that the fiscal consolidation needs to be revenue led, the Government took several proactive steps for increasing the growth of OTR since 2006-07. By 2010-11, Revenue Deficit (RD) (in other words borrowing for financing current expenditure) as a proportion of the borrowings in the financial year, which is called Fiscal Deficit (FD) came down, when compared to the previous five year period. The Details are given below:

 

              However, this trend in revenue led fiscal consolidation, which is evident from the reduction in all deficit indicators could not be sustained during the period since 2011-12. The details are given here.

 

 

Capital Expenditure: The consistent efforts to provide adequate funds for creation of capital assets have been apparent since 2007-08. The capital outlay of ` 902.58 crore in 2006-07 rose to ` 1474.58 crore in 2007-08. The trend of enhanced level of capital outlay continued in subsequent years also. The capital outlay increased to ` 3363.69 crore in 2010-11 from ` 2059.38 crore in 2009-10. The ratio of capital outlay to GSDP that stood below 1% in some of the preceeding years advanced to 1.27% in 2010-11. The capital expenditure estimated for 2011-12 is ` 5063.82 crore, its ratio to GSDP being 1.55%. Public works continued to remain the major segment of capital outlay. Details of capital expenditure and total expenditure from 2005-06 to 2011-12 (BE) is shown here 

                             

 

             During 2010-11, the commitments on three major items coming under non-plan/non-developmental expenditure, viz, interest, pension and salary accounted for about 72.68% of the total revenue receipt of the state whereas it was 75.83% in 2009-10. The rate of growth in interest payment during 2010-11 over the previous year was 7.50%. Expenditure as salary during the period went up by 12.94%. As against 2009-10, Expenditure on pension during 2010-11 went up by ` 1061.99 crore. The total Expenditure on interest, pension and salary which was 80.19% of the revenue receipts and 66.57% of revenue expenditure in 2005-06 reached at a level of 72.68% of revenue receipts and 64.98% of revenue expenditure in 2010-11.

 

Tables showing expenditure pattern 

 

                  The capital expenditure, which is the total of capital outlay and loans and disbursements by the Government. It is to be noted that, the Kerala Infrastructure Investment Board (KIIFB) gives approval for capital expenditure, which is not reflected below:

 

                                          Components of capital expenditure, in ₹ crore

 

 

                  The share of capital expenditure has been around 9 per cent of the total expenditure. At present, around 57 per cent of borrowed funds is utilised for revenue expenditure (2018-19 BE).If the process of fiscal consolidation aiming at higher growth in revenues and rationalisation of revenue expenditure is successful; a higher share of borrowings in the financial year can be used for capital expenditure. The details are shown below:

 

Share of capital expenditure in total expenditure, in per cent

 

Source: Central Statistical Organization and Department of Economics and Statistics,  E.R.2008-2018

  •    Department of Economics and Statistics, Government of Kerala]